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Post-Test Probability Calculator

Health
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Calculates the probability of having a condition after receiving a diagnostic test result (using Bayes' Theorem).

How To Use

How to use this calculator

Start with your values, or try a preset.

Step 1

Enter Pre-test Probability (%), Sensitivity (%), and Specificity (%) in the units shown.

Step 2

Read Specificity (Decimal), Sensitivity (Decimal), Pre-test Probability (Decimal), Positive Likelihood Ratio, Post-test Odds, and Post-test Probability (%) in the results panel. Results update as you change the inputs.

Step 3

Choose a preset to load an example, then adjust the values for your situation.

Worked Examples

Example calculations

See the inputs and their calculated results.

High Sensitivity & Specificity

Pre-test Probability (%): 10 %; Sensitivity (%): 95 %; Specificity (%): 95 %

Specificity (Decimal): 0.95; Sensitivity (Decimal): 0.95; Pre-test Probability (Decimal): 0.1; Positive Likelihood Ratio: 19; Post-test Odds: 2.111111111; Post-test Probability (%): 67.85714286 %

Moderate Sensitivity & Specificity

Pre-test Probability (%): 20 %; Sensitivity (%): 80 %; Specificity (%): 80 %

Specificity (Decimal): 0.8; Sensitivity (Decimal): 0.8; Pre-test Probability (Decimal): 0.2; Positive Likelihood Ratio: 4; Post-test Odds: 1; Post-test Probability (%): 50 %

Low Pre-test Probability

Pre-test Probability (%): 5 %; Sensitivity (%): 90 %; Specificity (%): 90 %

Specificity (Decimal): 0.9; Sensitivity (Decimal): 0.9; Pre-test Probability (Decimal): 0.05; Positive Likelihood Ratio: 9; Post-test Odds: 0.4736842105; Post-test Probability (%): 32.14285714 %

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Important

Use the result as an estimate and confirm any medical decisions with a qualified professional.